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Preview: England v New Zealand

29th November 2012 17:14

dan carter england new zealand twickenham

Back at Twickenham: Dan Carter

England will conclude a frustrating November at Twickenham when they face world champions New Zealand on Saturday.

With a comfortable win as expected under their belts against Fiji, England went into their matches against Australia and South Africa with a sense of optimism and quiet confidence.

Instead, they have emerged a fortnight later aware of their deficiencies and with their captain under pressure following a series of costly calls at key moments against the Wallabies and Springboks. Many felt before November that England were on their way up. The last three weeks have proven that there is still plenty for them to learn.

Who better to provide a rugby masterclass than New Zealand? Unbeaten in 2012 with 12 wins and one draw against Australia, they are playing at an astonishing level even by their own imperious standards.

Young blood in Aaron Smith, Brodie Retallick, Luke Romano and Julian Savea have eased into the starting XV without any concern, assuring that this All Blacks side did not peak when they finally recaptured the Rugby World Cup last October. If anything they have improved; stronger, faster and more clinical than that trophy-winning side.

England however are not without their own talents. Chris Robshaw's decision-making in recent weeks may be under the spotlight but his dedication and work-rate cannot be questioned. Alex Goode has shown that he can keep defences guessing, whilst Manu Tuilagi remains a struggle to contain.

Alex Corbisiero's return against South Africa highlighted that he is England's most prolific loosehead, although the interpretation of the scrums left something to be desired. Joe Launchbury has taken to Test rugby well and will no doubt fulfil a childhood dream of facing New Zealand when he runs out on Saturday.

Too much about England however remains uncertain. Does Brad Barritt do enough going forward? Can Tom Youngs rediscover the accuracy at the line-out that he had against Australia but eluded him against South Africa? Players who previously have enjoyed great highs for England - Chris Ashton in particular - appear far from their devastating best, their confidence misplaced.

That is something you cannot say about the All Blacks. Confidence has never been an issue and when you have 788 caps in your squad - it shouldn't be. Dan Carter (93) and Richie McCaw (115) have more than England's whole side put together (206).

The incident with Andrew Hore against Wales though has left New Zealand embarrassed according to Steve Hansen. On Saturday they will look to emphasise once again that they are the greatest rugby side on the planet, not a team that wins by thuggery.

When you possess the greatest skill set, set-piece, squad and attacking threats as New Zealand do, the game is relatively simple. For every injury to Carter, you have Aaron Cruden. For every suspension for Hore, you have Keven Mealamu.

Whatever your allegiance, there is no denying the superiority of this All Blacks side - after all, they have beaten every other side they've come across in 2012. A time will come when New Zealand are no longer the world's best and this vintage crop will be looked back on. Best to savour it while it lasts.

Ones to watch:

For England: After his surprise nomination for the IRB Player of the Year earlier this week, all eyes will be on fly-half Owen Farrell. The Saracen returns to the starting line-up in place of the injured Toby Flood and kicked well against South Africa, but questions remain over whether he can spark England's backline into life. Elsewhere, Manu Tuilagi has to shine in these sorts of clashes with New Zealand if he is truly to be considered as a world-class talent. Still only 21, England need him to perform.

For New Zealand: Two of New Zealand's greats are not getting any younger, so any time Dan Carter and Richie McCaw run out at Twickenham it is a moment to savour. Both are included on the IRB shortlist along with Farrell and this will be McCaw's final Test before he takes a sabbatical in 2013. With the thought of a deserved rest around the corner, McCaw will not want to be out fishing with the lingering thought of a loss to England on his mind. Carter, meanwhile, has bounced back from the disappointment of missing the Rugby World Cup final with an outstanding year and should control this one from start to finish.

Head-to-head: With caps littered across both sides, it's two players with the fewest that will face-off in an intriguing duel on Saturday. Joe Launchbury initially impressed off the bench against Australia and made his first start last week against the Springboks, holding his own in the contact area and showing off his athleticism. Brodie Retallick meanwhile has been fighting it out with Luke Romano to be the heir to Brad Thorn's throne - bringing intense physicality to the table and proving to be a reliable operator at the set-piece.

Recent results:

2010: New Zealand won 26-16 at Twickenham
2009: New Zealand won 19-6 at Twickenham
2008: New Zealand won 32-6 at Twickenham
2008: New Zealand won 44-12 in Christchurch
2008: New Zealand won 37-20 in Auckland
2006: New Zealand won 41-20 at Twickenham
2005: New Zealand won 23-19 at Twickenham
2004: New Zealand won 36-12 in Auckland
2004: New Zealand won 36-3 in Dunedin
2003: England won 15-13 in Wellington
2002: England won 31-28 at Twickenham

Prediction: It might be the end of a long year for New Zealand, but that is irrelevant. They will want to end 2012 unbeaten and in some style at one of the stadiums in world rugby where winning means everything. England's best chance is to remain in the match for as long as possible, meaning an ironclad defence and plenty of possession - two factors they had against South Africa but failed to capitalise on. Rather than an upset, this should be another lesson in England's education, and a fitting end to a great season for New Zealand. All Blacks by 15.

The teams:

England: 15 Alex Goode, 14 Chris Ashton, 13 Manu Tuilagi, 12 Brad Barritt, 11 Mike Brown, 10 Owen Farrell, 9 Ben Youngs, 8 Ben Morgan, 7 Chris Robshaw (c), 6 Tom Wood, 5 Geoff Parling, 4 Joe Launchbury, 3 Dan Cole, 2 Tom Youngs, 1 Alex Corbisiero.
Replacements: 16 David Paice, 17 David Wilson, 18 Mako Vunipola, 19 Courtney Lawes 20 James Haskell, 21 Danny Care, 22 Freddie Burns, 23 Jonathan Joseph.

New Zealand: 15 Israel Dagg, 14 Cory Jane, 13 Conrad Smith, 12 Ma'a Nonu, 11 Julian Savea, 10 Dan Carter, 9 Aaron Smith, 8 Kieran Read, 7 Richie McCaw (c), 6 Liam Messam, 5 Sam Whitelock, 4 Brodie Retallick, 3 Owen Franks, 2 Keven Mealamu, 1 Tony Woodcock.
Replacements: 16 Dane Coles, 17 Wyatt Crockett, 18 Charlie Faumunia, 19 Luke Romano, 20 Victor Vito, 21 Piri Weepu, 22 Aaron Cruden, 23 Ben Smith.

Date: Saturday, 1 December
Venue: Twickenham Stadium, London
Kick-off: 14:30 GMT
Referee: George Clancy (Ireland)
Assistant referees: Nigel Owens (Wales), Lourens van der Merwe (South Africa)
Television match official: Giulio De Santis (Italy)

by Ben Coles

@bencoles_

Comments

DaveJ says...

England have absolutely no chance, they have scraped close losses against a very poor Aus team and a very under strengh injury ravaged SA team. Given the AB's second XV would presently beat any team on the planet, even when tired, England are in for a bit of a thumping against a team that can expose their 1 dimensional play.

Posted 14:50 30th November 2012

passtheball says...

Worldwary - that's way too logical!

ABs looked jaded in the second half v Wales. So with "Suzie" active and a pedantic ref, an off day from Dan Carter - you never know.

A game against the French might have been interesting this year.

Posted 13:54 30th November 2012

cayzam says...

rugby_phile, log into www.vipbox.tv - free live sport.

nzmaoriboy, England may have all the puzzle pieces, but their problem is that the pieces are from five different puzzles and not the same puzzle. No matter how hard they try, the team will never be the finished article until the selectors decide which puzzle they want to build.

All the best to NZ and Aus this weekend, from a Natal Sharks and Springbok fan (visitor to Kings Park since 1971, but living on the other side of the world now).

Posted 13:35 30th November 2012

zambokke says...

Mike Brown looks to be a skillfull player, but he is out of position against Israel Dagg and one of the best natural wingers in the modern era Corey Jane. When England's backs get shown to be ineffective, they will be glad that they have a great defender/tackler like Barritt as they will be doing a lot of defending.

Posted 13:29 30th November 2012

froggy73 says...

@Rugby-phile: try the website "stopstreaming" (.com?). They cover pretty much everything around the globe so your game should definitely be on there. That is where I watched the 3 France games since Sky/BBC didn't bother showing any game of France.

Posted 11:09 30th November 2012

APV1 says...

"... the All Blacks ...have 788 caps ... Dan Carter (93) and Richie McCaw (115) have more than England's whole side put together (206)."

Wow. That's a helluvalot of experience we're lacking. And, unfortunately, I don't see our youthful exuberance being able to top it.

@ Isograford - bear in mind that England are the only "home nations" Team playing all of the top 3. We're going to be knackered too. That's the life of a pro rugby player and I don't think either team will let it affect them.

@ PontySurrey - your obvious joking aside, our RWC draw is settled. Only Wales and Argentina are really in contention of swapping places. I think...

@ nzmaoriboy - "England to me have all the puzzle pieces to be a good team,But it seems to me they havent quiet decided how it will all mesh together!" Well put, sir! Hear! Hear!

Here's to an England win! Perhaps I'm more delusional than usual, but stranger things have happened!

Posted 11:05 30th November 2012

WorldWary says...

God this All Blacks only win cos every ref in the world has a boner for them or gets a Mercedes from the NZRFU or whatever crap is getting old. They infringe as much as any team, they play the ref well...it's part of the training for a game..same a every team on the planet!!! NZ are better at it most of the time just like they are better at running, catching, passing, scrumming and every other part of the game.

We expect to get scrum penalties cos we have/had a great scrum..esp with Sheridan or against Oz...we expect the ref to recognise this and call in our favour....why the hell shouldn't NZ get this same advantage from the ref when they have PROVEN to be superior in almost every facet of the game?!?

I would love us to beat them...I'd love it if we were that good, of other countries talked about us in such stupid and vindictive ways...but we are not...

Hopefully by 2015 they are saying these things about England.....we must be fantastic then

Posted 10:41 30th November 2012

melkdave says...

Have to say i feel PR have the wining margin about right,and i support England .Myself im really hoping England play well and make it a close game.A loss by 3-6 points would be fantastic imo,for such a young and green team.Heres hoping anyway ,and if the gods are smiling on England ,then maybe even a 3 point win ,but im not holding my breath on that lol

Posted 10:22 30th November 2012

kitch says...

everyone wrote off the aussies the last time they played the ABs and look what happened there! .... england have a real chance of upsetting the ABs this weekend with home advantage, a NH ref who will want to make good the indescretions of the ABs from the last couple weeks, and the sickness thats gone through the AB camp. England have a forward pack to match any team and their backs will want to redeem themselves from recent losses and basically have nothing to lose and everything to prove.

Posted 10:07 30th November 2012

rugby_phile says...

Help, I am in OZ at the moment and the game is only going to be shown on Setanta. I refuse to pay two weeks subscription and a joining fee to watch one match however much I love my rugger. Are there any sites streaming it free, even if its no live? Anybody help suggestions appreciated.

Posted 10:04 30th November 2012

Wallaroo says...

@dropkick - LOL.

Barring a miracle, Suzie, NZ down to 10 men and a biased ref England do not stand a snowballs chance of wining this one.

NZ by 20.

Posted 09:49 30th November 2012

ramm83 says...

My head says NZ by 15-20 but my heart will always say an England win...

Posted 09:16 30th November 2012

sirtidychris says...

"Alex Goode has shown that he can keep defences guessing"

Defenses guess that every time alex goode gets the balls he will kick it, they are correct in that assertion !, just as they will guess that brad barrit will just ship it along one and owen farrell will either try a chip over the top or pass behind the man next to him. I cant see england scoring a try, which means we need to win penalties and kick points which means we need to win the breakdown with no specialist 7 against the best in the buisiness. I will be cheering for you england but in a way i hope that our "education" will show that there are better players on the fringes.

Posted 09:16 30th November 2012

jonesy2 says...

NHsaints -- haha not quite mature enough to win yet. gotta love the delusional english optimism going forward

Tamjon -- thats no secret though.

Posted 08:14 30th November 2012

StunTheMullet says...

@ PontySurrey - Didn't Hartley try that last time around - don't remember the penalty, citing, ban or remorse however.

Posted 07:45 30th November 2012

NHsaints says...

England will be up for this and I can say that I hope we finish after giving Nz a good run for their money and within 10 points but I still don't think we're quite mature enough to win yet.

Posted 07:31 30th November 2012

Startledwombat says...

@dropkick

Yours is an excellent posting- accurate, sensible, reasonable and correct in every respect.

The problem here is that the English game has deteriorated ever since the colonials learned about it. Remember when a try was worth just one point, and was called a try because it meant you got to try a kick at goal? Kicking through the posts was much more valuable.

Actually you wouldn't remember this, it was about 1880.

Some would argue that the English game hasn't really moved on much since then, what with its abiding interest in kicks and multiples of 3.

Posted 06:47 30th November 2012

Waz4before says...

I think as an English supporter I will take a good, solid performance from the backs (similar to the Bok game, not the Wallabie performance), good, committed defense (similar to the Scotland game at McMurrayfield), and a creative attack better than anything we've done this year that suggest some hope for a try-scoring future starting with the 6 Nations in 2013. Wrap that up with sustained improved discipline that's becoming a hallmark of Lancaster's side and I'll walk away from this autumn series battered, bruised but still hopeful - 200 caps for an international team is way, way low and so is the average age so we're gonna take some beatings before we get better ...

Posted 06:36 30th November 2012

nzmaoriboy says...

England to me have all the puzzle pieces to be a good team,But it seems to me they havent quiet decided how it will all mesh together! On a good day they are more than capable of beating what I would percieve to be a tired NZ side! They need to reduce this game to a trench fight, a war of attrition if you like...If they can be physical & dogged in the contact area & accrue points this could force NZ into mistakes & ctach up rugby. But make no mistake for them to win they need to chance there arm on attack! However if they are not accurate & if they do not defend well they will loose (& by a lot). Im an AB's fan but I reckon if England can give it a good shake with their young side it will do wonders for their Pysche & will bode well for the next few years leading to the RWC. Hope its a good game cheers

Posted 06:33 30th November 2012

Stellenbosched2 says...

Hi dropkick,

Your post made my day. And it's only 7 am!

Posted 05:18 30th November 2012

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