Planet Rugby

Preview: Scotland v New Zealand

09th November 2012 08:27

richie mccaw in scotland

New Zealand: Out to set the tone for the rest of their European tour

New Zealand haven't been beaten in their November internationals for 10 years, and it should remain that way when Scotland's feared and revered opponents visit Murrayfield.

Whilst the All Blacks' southern hemisphere counterparts trip up from time to time, New Zealand remain extremely dominant on northern tours. The tourists' most recent November defeat in Europe was England's Twickenham win in 2002, when current Scotland coach Andy Robinson was assistant to Sir Clive Woodward.

But while Robinson has tasted victory against the mighty All Blacks, his adopted rugby nation haven't in 107 years of trying. In 28 attempts, Scotland have drawn twice (1964 and 1983) while two years ago the side which went on to lift the World Cup claimed a 49-3 win, featuring three tries in the opening nine minutes.

Of course, an upset can never be ruled out - just ask Australia as they found out earlier this year at home against the Scots. But despite having accounted for the Wallabies, the hosts appear too weak on paper to make any significant impact and are destined for another tough day at the office.

It would be fantastic for the game though if Robinson's troops can prove us - and arguably everyone else - wrong. Especially considering the inroads they've made since the disappointment of exiting the group stage of the World Cup for the first time and a Six Nations wooden spoon.

Indeed, Scotland were the most successful of all of the 'Home Nations' in June, thanks to their three tour wins against Australia, Fiji and Samoa. Scotland supporters will hope their team can continue the same run of form.

Unfortunatelly for them, Scotland's job hasn't been made any easier against the world champions who are still hurting from a disappointing 18-18 Bledisloe Cup draw with the injury-ravaged Wallabies in Brisbane - halting their winning streak at 16 matches.

Granted, the result was better than a loss. And had Dan Carter's last-gasp drop-goal been a metre to the left, New Zealand could've taken an unlikely victory. But instead the Kiwis left Suncorp Stadium knowing they had blown their chance for a tilt at a world-record winning sequence.

But its not all doom and gloom for the men in black as they are still in the running for another record - their longest unbeaten streak.

Now on 17, if Richie McCaw and his merry men beat Scotland, Italy, Wales and England over the next four weeks and then knock over France in their three-Test series next year, they will overtake the current record of 23 games without loss set in 1987-90.

To team news now and with coach Steve Hansen intent on giving all of his 32-man squad a run in the opening two Tests, only five players from the All Blacks' last outing against Australia were included in the starting XV.

The out-of-form Piri Weepu, who seems to have nine lives, was handed another chance of redemption and replaces Aaron Smith. Hansen also named veteran hooker Andrew Hore in the starting line-up and gave Tawera Kerr-Barlow and Dane Coles the opportunity to earn their debut caps from an expanded eight-man bench.

Perhaps the biggest surprise was the inclusion of Highlanders duo Tamati Ellison and Ben Smith together in midfield for the first time at the expense of Ma'a Nonu and Conrad Smith.

While Ellison and Ben Smith are relatively inexperienced at Test level, with 12 caps between them compared to Nonu and Conrad Smith's 136, they have worked well together at the Highlanders, hinting that Hansen is looking to the future.

With McCaw and star fly-half Dan Carter still in the mix, it's still a very strong side boasting 556 Test caps, backed up by 267 on the bench.

In the Scotland camp, Robinson made five changes to his starting XV that edged Samoa 17-16 in June.

Jim Hamilton, who missed the tour because of disciplinary problems incurred while playing for Gloucester, returns to partner star lock Richie Gray in the second row while fit-again loose forward Kelly Brown was recalled and captains Scotland for the first time.

In the backs, centre Nick de Luca and scrum-half Mike Blair replace the injured pair of Joe Ansbro and Chris Cusiter respectively while Geoff Cross comes in for prop Euan Murray, unavailable because his religious beliefs prevent him playing on a Sunday.

Ones to watch:

For Scotland: Standing 1.93m and weighing 109kg, Holland-born Tim Visser comes from the Jonah Lomu-school of wingers, and the All Blacks will no doubt have done their homework on the 25-year-old Edinburgh flyer who will make his Murrayfield debut on Sunday. Visser, who scored two tries on his debut against Fiji in June, is a versatile and strong runner with plenty of pace - a mold developed by New Zealand with the emergence of Lomu almost 20 years ago. Also keep an eye on lock Richie Gray, who has given Scotland a timely boost but has not played since October 14 due to an ankle injury.

For New Zealand: It's refreshing not to to single out the usual suspects in the All Blacks midfield with a new combination set to take centre stage in Scotland's capital. Ben Smith and Tamati Ellison have been warming pine for long enough and finally get to prove their worth straight from the kick-off. Smith - comfortable at wing, full-back or centre - is a master of the perfect angle, hitting the line like clockwork. Ellison has pace, quick feet and good hands so needs to be fiercely guarded. The duo are team-mates at the Highlanders too, so know each other's attributes inside out.

Head to head: Kelly Brown v Victor Vito. The Scotland skipper was probably expecting to be up against the influential Kieran Read. Instead he's is tasked with keeping Vito at bay, but his job won't be any easier. Whilst the Hurricanes star is no Read, he gets through plenty of graft that serves on the platform on which any Test victory is built. Vito provides NZ with a reliable option at the back of the line-out and is always on hand to carry the ball strongly or make an important tackle. Brown, celebrating his 50th Test, is no slouch either and will be looking to dominate from the back of the scrum.

Recent results:
2010: New Zealand won 49-3, Edinburgh
2008: New Zealand won 32-6, Edinburgh
2007: New Zealand won 40-0, Edinburgh
2005: New Zealand won 29-10, Edinburgh
2001: New Zealand won 37-6, Edinburgh
2000: New Zealand won 48-14, Auckland
2000: New Zealand won 69-20, Dunedin

Prediction: New Zealand's last result was perhaps the wake-up call needed ahead of this tour. Expect them to be wide awake this time out and one feels there is a response brewing to rectify that draw, which spells trouble for Scotland who have drawn the short straw. All Blacks by 20 points!

The teams:

Scotland: 15 Stuart Hogg, 14 Sean Lamont, 13 Nick De Luca, 12 Matt Scott, 11 Tim Visser, 10 Greig Laidlaw, 9 Mike Blair, 8 Kelly Brown, 7 Ross Rennie, 6 Alasdair Strokosch, 5 Jim Hamilton, 4 Richie Gray, 3 Geoff Cross, 2 Ross Ford, 1 Ryan Grant.
Replacements: 16 Scott Lawson, 17 Allan Jacobsen, 18 Kyle Traynor, 19 Alastair Kellock, 20 David Denton, 21 Henry Pyrgos, 22 Ruaridh Jackson, 23 Max Evans.

New Zealand: 15 Israel Dagg, 14 Cory Jane, 13 Ben Smith, 12 Tamati Ellison, 11 Julian Savea, 10 Daniel Carter, 9 Piri Weepu, 8 Victor Vito, 7 Richie McCaw (c), 6 Adam Thomson, 5 Sam Whitelock, 4 Luke Romano, 3 Owen Franks, 2 Andrew Hore, 1 Wyatt Crockett
Replacements: 16 Dane Coles, 17 Tony Woodcock, 18 Ben Franks, 19 Ali Williams, 20 Sam Cane, 21 Tawera Kerr Barlow, 22 Beauden Barrett, 23 Ma'a Nonu.

Date: Sunday, November 11
Kick-off: 14:30 GMT
Venue: Murrayfield
Referee: Jerome Garces (France)
Assistant referees: Pascal Gauzere (France) and Simon McDowell (Ireland)
Television match official: Graham Hughes (England)

Comments

markpat says...

@Ferdie. Technically, the definition of grand slam comes from bridge, but the following is also in the dictionary definition of the phrase:

2. Sports The winning of all the major or specified events, especially on a professional circuit.

I'm guessing that your definition came from Wikipedia, as that is the first hit from Google.

In tennis, you don't get a grand slam if you only enter a couple of the competitions, you have to play them all. Same with the 6 nations.

To claim that a tour is a grand slam, you would have to play all the teams making up the major competition of the tour - i.e., England play NZ, SAF and Australia (and now Argentina as well).

As I said, it is misused terminology. The major teams in the northern hemisphere would actually be England, Ireland, France and Wales, as all 4 rotate as to which are strongest.

However, I didn't claim they hadn't completed grandslam tours, I pointed out that they hadn't necessarily played the best NH team each tour.

Posted 11:01 12th November 2012

damo says...

Hope Scots give NZ a good go, its a gr8 achievement to take on the best but only if you walk off knowing you gave it your all, a missed opportunity is the only thing worse than no opportunity at all!!!!!!!!!!!!

Scots can play some good rugby and hope they show that, if they do this will be the game of the weekend!!!

From an Irish supporter!!

Posted 13:28 11th November 2012

Ferdie says...

markpat - Grand Slam - there is one possible in 6 Nations - one teams beats the other 5, also historically refers to NZ/SA/Aust making a clean sweep of the Home Nations (England, Scotland, Ireland and Wales). This has happened only nine times, first by South Africa in 1912¿13, and most recently by New Zealand in 2010. France is not, never has been, included as not one of the Home Nations.

Posted 12:28 11th November 2012

markpat says...

@kiwikev - I'm not saying they didn't go undefeated, which is what the term grandslam is incorrectly used for, but I did check google after the post and confirmed that NZ have NEVER played against all 3 of IRE, ENG and FRA on a tour. That means that every tour they don't necessarily play the best team in the NH. As I said, though, it was not meant to take away from NZ's achievement which is a fair reflection of them being the best team in the world, but to give a fairer reflection on the state of NH rugby which is not being given true representation by that statistic.

@jonesy2 - I normally try to refrain from commenting on your posts because you seem to know less about rugby than my son, but as you seem to have suggested that NZ have 8 world class inside centre replacements, I'd like to hear them and everyone else has 15 - wtf does that mean?

Posted 13:25 10th November 2012

Trader2 says...

Good luck to all you tormented souls praying for a Scotland win, sorry praying for an AB defeat. It will happen one day but not just yet, not just yet. It must be great for the majority of fan's who always have two teams to support, their own and anyone else playing the AB's. Thats fantastic because it keeps you going to their games, the money keeps rolling in, good for rugby. AB's by 25 on a good dry sunny day, otherwise it will be a messy 9 points to the Blacks. And if Scotland cause the mother of all upsets then I will have been priviledged to have seen history made.

Posted 12:25 10th November 2012

nzmaoriboy says...

Weather permitting this game should be interesting! Scotland have proven that they are more than capable of beating any team on their day, as Australia & Sa will testify too. The game will depend upon the All Blacks ability to get quick uninterrupted phase ball...If it is a stop start affair then this game will be a lot closer than predicted. Sa & Oz have proven that We (AB's) haven't yet been the complete package..meaning their is still room for improvement. Am looking forward to the Jane/Viser match up. Its a sell out so here's to an entertaining(close) match for the spectators .

@froggy73: When quoting statistics mate! give the true numbers don't cherry pick to make a point! Last I checked France lost 3 games at the RWC..& of course the boks beat wales. he he amateur

Posted 07:20 10th November 2012

jonesy2 says...

i got off topic. i was going to say im super excited about watching the young chiefs and hurricanes superstars TKB and cane and beauden, hopefully they get about a half of playing time each

Posted 07:16 10th November 2012

jonesy2 says...

atg77 -- haha aw bless your delusional self.

markprat-- yeah they only have about 6 world class replacements in that position unlike all the others where there is about 15

Posted 07:11 10th November 2012

jonesy2 says...

i think the fact that the AB's have rested some of the greats and given the like of vito, tamati, beauden, TKB and cane some real proper opportunity could actually be worse news for the scots because they are going to be going hell for leather and trying to impress in the black jersey. could get very very ugly for scotland if they get a roll on this could be a 50 point barrage

Posted 06:57 10th November 2012

Trinats2 says...

SCT 12 - 19 NZ

Posted 03:40 10th November 2012

PREEST says...

@golden_satenba Yea, the French beat the ABs in 2009. They completely out classed them. That was when Liam Messam was new to the team, and was completed done over by his opposites. Then they got an intercept try at the end to rub salt into the wound. As an ABs supporter, I was pulling my hair out that year. Stephen Donald was filling in for Dan Carter, who was actually on sabbatical in France, and it showed. Don't know why Donald ever made the ABs to be honest. SA won the Tri Nations that year, clean sweeped the ABs in all 3 matches.

Let's hope the Scots make a real contest out of it.

Posted 19:35 09th November 2012

golden_statenba says...

Good luck Scotland

The west coast of that country is probably one of the most beautiful parts in the world

Anyway I do expect the ABs to win but the talk in the NH should be how to beat the ABs consistently not just a one of.

Im sure that One of these teams will beat the ABs one day but thats nothing to get to excited about.

When Wales England Scotland Ireland start beating the ABs year after year then we can start talking NH V SH and even as an ABs supporter it will make things a little more exiting.

Thats why I enjoy watching the French because they have earned respect and installed a bit of fear into the ABs and their supporters. Also I think the last NH team to beat the ABs at home?

Anyway good luck to all teams and supporters

Posted 19:01 09th November 2012

Kiwikev says...

@ MarYPat

You are wrong; the AB won the GS in 2005, 2008 and 2010...

Each of the SH teams don't play the GS every year because other tests are scheduled against France and Italy...

BTW, Google is your friend!

Posted 18:36 09th November 2012

Isograford says...

And that 2002 by England over what was basically a Baby Blacks side was pretty lucky at that, with a blatant knock on before their match winning try.

Anyhow, i think Scotland might surprise in this game. There's a bit of a midweek look to this AB's side and that new centre pairing is a real worry. SBW and Kahui they are not.

Posted 18:03 09th November 2012

mew2000 says...

I am more concerned with the ref.... This is his first big test and he seems to be a rule controller with alot of cards .... IF he is true to form then this will keep scotland in the game otherwise the abs would run away with it....

Posted 17:59 09th November 2012

carpelone says...

Froggy

Wales did not beat South Africa, do not project your dreams into reality.

Posted 17:50 09th November 2012

TVaddict says...

This will be a tough day at the office for Scotland. Their only strength will be at the lineout, plus parity at scrum time, but it won't be enough. New Zealand (and Australia) are one of the best teams in the world at working out of to break down a defence and negate any strength the opponents have. Saying that I think they're a great team to play first as it's as intense a start to international rugby, great experience for the players, and no one expect you to win. Scotland should just go out there and run it from everywhere and just express themselves without fear of any real criticism coming their way for it. New Zealand by about 30.

Posted 13:54 09th November 2012

froggy73 says...

@GCP_jones: we all saw the ultra dominance the the SH at the last world cup: Australia beaten by Ireland, South Africa beaten by Wales, AB winning by 1 point only vs France on their home soil....

You talk too much and more over too much rubbish.

Last thing, it this is too predictable and boring for you, I have an advice for you: don't watch the game !!

Posted 13:36 09th November 2012

PREEST says...

Though I know that the ABs are going to win this game, I am really excited.

As mentioned below, it is a sad reflection of the standard between the Northern and Southern hemisphere teams. In saying that, the day that the ABs are beaten on tour will be massive, so kind of offsets the fact that it is rather predictable that the ABs will win all their games. I like seeing the ALL BLACKS win, I'm a Kiwi after all!!

Posted 13:00 09th November 2012

davodiablo says...

@GCP_Jones . Scotland beating Australia , SA drawing with Argentina and Australia drawing with New Zealand .

3 recent games that didn't go as predicted.

Posted 12:55 09th November 2012

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