Young guns on the front line: Johan Goosen and Kurtley Beale
Related links
Teams
Also see
If the history books are anything to go by, we're set for a cracking game at Loftus Versfeld on Saturday as the Wallabies go in search of their sixth consecutive win over the Springboks.
Positive team selections, bone-dry weather, a venue with a history of high-scoring fixtures (especially between these sides) and two coaches looking to prove a point: all the indicators suggest we're in for a treat and probably the highest scoring game of the Rugby Championship to date.
Both Heyneke Meyer and Robbie Deans said they expect a fast-paced game. The South Africa coach is eager to show Bok fans that his team can dance to more than one tune while his Wallaby counterpart has a long track record of leading sides that play positive rugby, despite what Quade 'I-think-I'm-Sonny-Bill-Williams-but-you-should-treat-me-like-Dan-Carter' Cooper would have us believe.
Fly-halves (as they tend to do) have been in the headlines this week and the spotlight will be firmly fixed on Johan Goosen and Kurtley Beale. Many fans and pundits firmly believe that the Cheetahs pivot is the embodiment of the path they hope the Boks will follow over the next for years. Considering Cooper's fall-out with Deans and the ARU, Beale could well find himself in a similar position for the Aussies, (assuming the current coaching staff manage to hang around.)
But we're getting ahead of ourselves and Bok fans in particular shouldn't delude themselves by thinking the wunderkind from Bloem is going to transform the way the Boks play overnight. As Meyer stressed at Wednesday's team announcement, Test rugby is a very different level to the Currie Cup and no one should expect Goosen to be cutting Australia's defence apart at will.
The Wallabies have won seven of the last eight Tests between these sides, including the previous two on South African soil. During the Deans era, Australia have claimed the spoils in three of their six games in the Republic. Prior to his arrival, they had won just once in SA in the professional era.
But they've never won at Loftus.
Even though victory in Bloemfontein two years ago ended their Highveld hoodoo, the thin air and hostile crowd in the South African capital have seen the home side to victory on all five previous Wallaby visits.
Deans has long maintained that teams of the past have made too much of the altitude factor and ended up psyching themselves out of the contest. When I spoke to young wing Dom Shipperley on Thursday, he had a similar take on the crowd, insisting the atmosphere wasn't an issue unless you made it one for yourself.
Fair points from both, but the numbers don't lie. Our tipster dug up some interesting stats for internationals in Pretoria, where the Boks are outscoring visiting teams by an average of 13 points in the second half. That number climbs to 16 against the Wallabies.
So it seems no matter their mental approach, the Wallabies will still have to overcome that lungs-on-fire sensation that is unavoidable in the last 20 minutes at 4,500 feet above sea level.
They've been on the Highveld for ten days, so they should be acclimatised. But even if they had been here for a year, handing out free Wallaby jerseys, it wouldn't make the 52,000-strong crowd any friendlier.
However if this injury-depleted Aussie squad can get that record-setting sixth straight win over the Boks, it'll be an occasion to be remembered.
Players to watch:
For South Africa: As mentioned above, all eyes will be on Johan Goosen, who at the tender age of 20 will be tasked with igniting the Bok attack. You have to be pretty special to replace Morne Steyn for a Test at Loftus. Expectations are sky-high but his team-mates reckon he thrives under pressure. Francois Louw played for Bath last week, meaning he's done a lot of traveling in the last fortnight. It'll be interesting to see when Marcell Coetzee needs to take over from the bench. Zane Kirchner is next in line to get the axe if public pressure has anything to do with Bok selections, but he's usually very solid on his home turf.
For Australia: Another young gun, Kurtley Beale will run the Wallabies backline, but his big boot is also set to come in handy in a territorial battle that will see punts fly 70ms when struck sweetly. He'll interchange positions with Berrick Barnes fairly regularly with the latter set be tested under the high ball. Up front Benn Robinson becomes the third Australian prop to reach his half century of international appearances and will want to build on the solid performance from the Wallaby scrum in Perth.
Head-to-head: With both teams set to use the favourable kicking conditions to seek out territory, the line-outs could make or break the attacking plans. South Africa have recalled their first-choice lock pairing of Eben Etzebeth and Andries Bekker, with the former returning from suspension and the latter looking to make amends for his nightmare game in Mendoza after a solid stint off the bench against the All Blacks. Meyer said earlier this week that Bekker was suited to the open game we all expect because his "strong point is to pitch up as a centre, ala Victor Matfield, on the wing sometimes!" Wallaby skipper Nathan Sharpe joins former openside George Smith as the most capped forward in the green and gold (playing his 110th Test), but it remains to be seen if the old warhorse will go the distance. 23-year-old Kane Douglas wins just his second cap, but at 122kg he's got the tools to make an impact.
Previous results:
2012: Australia won 26-19, Perth
2011: Australia won 11-9, Wellington
2011: Australia won 14-9, Durban
2011: Australia won 39-20, Sydney
2010: Australia won 41-39, Bloemfontein
2010: South Africa won 44-31, Pretoria
2010: Australia won 30-13, Brisbane
2009: Australia won 21-6, Brisbane
2009: South Africa won 32-25, Perth
2009: South Africa won 29-17, Cape Town
2008: South Africa won 53-8, Johannesburg
Prediction: There has been an average of 53 total points per game in Tests at Lofus and 50 between these sides, so the safe money is on a high-scoring game. We reckon the Boks looked good enough against the All Blacks to merit their favourites tag. South Africa by ten points!
The teams:
South African (revised): 15 Zane Kirchner, 14 Bryan Habana, 13 Jaco Taute, 12 Jean de Villiers (captain), 11 Francois Hougaard, 10 Johan Goosen, 9 Ruan Pienaar, 8 Duane Vermeulen, 7 Willem Alberts, 6 Francois Louw, 5 Andries Bekker, 4 Eben Etzebeth, 3 Jannie du Plessis, 2 Adriaan Strauss, 1 Tendai Mtawarira.
Replacements: 16 Tiaan Liebenberg, 17 Pat Cilliers, 18 Flip van der Merwe, 19 Marcell Coetzee, 20 Elton Jantjies, 21 Juan de Jongh, 22 Pat Lambie.
Australia: 15 Berrick Barnes, 14 Dominic Shipperley, 13 Adam Ashley-Cooper, 12 Pat McCabe, 11 Digby Ioane, 10 Kurtley Beale, 9 Nick Phipps, 8 Radike Samo, 7 Michael Hooper, 6 Dave Dennis, 5 Nathan Sharpe (captain), 4 Kane Douglas, 3 Ben Alexander, 2 Tatafu Polota Nau, 1 Benn Robinson.
Replacements: 16 Saia Fainga'a, 17 James Slipper, 18 Rob Simmons, 19 Scott Higginbotham, 20 Liam Gill, 21 Brett Sheehan, 22 Anthony Fainga'a.
Date: Saturday, September 29
Venue: Loftus Versfeld, Pretoria
Kick-off: 17.00 (15.00 GMT ; 01.00 NSW/ACT)
Weather: Dry. Clear skies, 21°C
Referee: Alain Rolland (Ireland)
Assistant referees: Romain Poite (France), Greg Garner (England)
TMO: Shaun Veldsman (South Africa)By Ross Hastie in Pretoria






Comments
Ripzy007 says...
After reading the stats on another site of the records of previous Wallabies coaches only RM has a better winning ratio than Deans..as for Cooper, he wants to play with SBW? Soon he'll convert to Muslim and start wiping SBW's bum
Posted 17:02 29th September 2012
JohnV says...
Bloemboy.....many thanks and goodluck for this arvo.
Posted 12:21 29th September 2012
bloemboy says...
@John, try p2p4u.net
I think the game will be closely contested for the first half, though with the Boks going into the second half ahead. I hope Goosen gets to play the full game because I think you will see some exciting rugby in the 2nd half, with Taute doing some damage. JdV is not a player that likes to kick out of hand so I expect that there will be quite a bit of ball reaching the wings. Expect Alberts and Bekker to run out of puff by 50min.
Prediction, 32 - 17 to the Boks (with a try bonus to boot)
Posted 10:44 29th September 2012
Trinats2 says...
whizz52:
Wont need an excuse if there was a good/half decent coach !!!
Posted 10:17 29th September 2012
JohnV says...
Anyone know where I can view this and the NZ game on the net?
Posted 10:02 29th September 2012
chisel68 says...
Hope today the Wallabies play attacking rugby and win - not simply because I'm Aussie and I like to watch attacking rugby, but so that QC might want "back in" and the ARU can say "eff off"!
I hope his team mates give him plenty of stick for his efforts over this past week. His poor timing (on AND off the field) demonstrate why this bloke has no place in rugby at any level. Its a team game Quade. You look after your mates and they look after you. You do whats best for the TEAM, not yourself. Good riddance to bad rubbish.
Posted 08:55 29th September 2012
2EyedKiwi says...
Just rechecked the line ups, and am happy to report that Dagg is playing at 15. Sheesh Trinats3, you had me worried there for a minute...
Posted 07:29 29th September 2012
whizz52 says...
It will be great when Aussie get a new coach. I wonder what Trinuts excuses will be than?
Posted 05:41 29th September 2012
whizz52 says...
Trinuts can I get some of that juice you are drinking...it really helps you write some funny stuff. I just got off the floor from laughing so hard.
Posted 05:39 29th September 2012
bigb6969 says...
Goosen could shake the Boks up, he is more talented than Dan Carter at 20, of course he will still have to kick on from here to be a great player, but he has the potential.
It is staggering the Wallabies , they keep playing the ABs more than anyone else ! and they don't get any ranking points there, but they somehow, with the huge injuries they are still number 2. Deans has not done too badly in terms of overall results.
I have a bob each way, sure the Boks will win this, Australia are still mixing up there team. Beale and Barnes are being moved around to fill in different gaps (poor depth in Australian props). But they seem to have the wood on the Boks, 5 wins in a row. Still I predict SA by 10
Posted 04:37 29th September 2012
oldschool says...
I'm trying very very hard to keep the faith with Cooper, and desperately want him to transfer his S15 form up to the next level, BUT, he is making it very hard for us to maintain support for him. These latest comments on social media and Fox - I shake my head. I'd love to shift some of the blame to his idiot manager who is advising him, and maybe can blame him a bit, however he is not holding a gun to Cooper's head and forcing him to write/speak the words. Cooper needs to grow up, he's had a couple of chances in life, on and off the field, and needs to snap out of it quickly.
As an aside, a friend and I have started a game whereby when we are out drinking with a third mate, after he's had a few we see how many times we can swap his drink with our less fuller drinks, before getting caught. We call it "Quading". We have yet to be caught however (low blow, I know, but what's life if you can't have a bit of fun once in a while!)
Sadly, I think the Saffas will take it tonight. Should be a good open game though.
Posted 02:21 29th September 2012
KiwiLad says...
At last Trinats I get it, its all the foreigners playing and coaching in the Canary Yellow shirts that are stopping Aus from being number 1 in the world.
Who would play????
Posted 00:44 29th September 2012
ben7 says...
If SA win considering all the injuries they have i'll be impressed.
bismarck du plessis, schalk burger, pierre spies, juan smith, coenie oosthuizen, frans steyn, jp pietersen are all injured. Not to mention HM crappy selections of kirchner, JDV and leaving out Brussow. Also this team has i think 6 players who are 21 or younger!
Posted 23:11 28th September 2012
Trinats2 says...
2EyedKiwi
I said "helped" not prevent !!
Deans can't communicate to the team, now that there is no captain as such, the rest of the team are lost.
Dean's told Cooper he wasn't 100% fit to play against NZ, yet a week later after 22-0 he puts him in starting XV ??? It's no wonder players are unsure of Deans tactics.
Funny how all the Kiwis on here love Deans and want him to stay on as Aussie coach !!! Don't blame you, I would if we had a record like his against you !!!
Hoping for a win, as I'm a proud Aussie, but I wont lose too much sleep if we lose. If SA lose this one they have some real issues. Playing against a 2/3 or even 4th string in some positions, Wallaby side. They are at home, and the Wallabies in a "toxic environment" within the camp, with a boring game plan and onto their 5th Captain who was ment to retire at begining of the year..
Posted 22:36 28th September 2012
olepete says...
Well, having read all this, Oz have more character and will win by 5.
Posted 21:48 28th September 2012
2EyedKiwi says...
@Trinats5 "He also helped the Wallabies win the Tri nations last year, and came close year before. Also made it to the RWC semi and lost to NZ in NZ. A couple of years back was part of Aus record win over France in France !"
You talking about Deans?
Posted 20:13 28th September 2012
daza says...
Trinats , love it Beale the best 15 in the world. One of your best.keep up the good work.
Posted 20:11 28th September 2012
ArmchairGeneral says...
Even if Goosen makes the breaks not sure the team will be onto it. He could get isolated. One Cindarella won't make her ugly 14 sisters look pretty. If SAf win it will be by applying the same old game plan well.
Posted 19:29 28th September 2012
Zambokke says...
Let's be honest, this isn't a true Wobbly first xv; the 2011 games count nothing towards form, we are on home turf and should win by at least 10. Anything less and I won't be too chuffed. This is a good warm up game for the ABs-we need to win otherwise we are little better than Agentina and therefore similar ranked teams. Come on guys show us what you can do.Go Boks.
Posted 19:25 28th September 2012
shoobydo says...
"..all the indicators suggest we're in for a treat and probably the highest scoring game of the Rugby Championship to date. "
Oh dear PR, do high scores = great games now? Is this a "new rugby fan" thing?
I always thought high scores were a sign of chocolate-wristed tackles and general lethargy in defence.
Anyway looking forward to the game - both good teams despite what the papers say.
Boks by less than 5.
Posted 17:50 28th September 2012