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Preview: Ireland v Wales

03rd February 2012 07:18

Jamie Roberts Sean OBrien wales v ireland world cup

Revenge? Ireland host Wales

Ireland will aim to avenge their World Cup quarter-final defeat by Wales when the two sides go head to head in their Six Nations opener at Aviva Stadium on Sunday.

The visit of the Welsh to Dublin is a perfect opening match for the Irish, who will no doubt still be haunted by their failure to turn up in the RWC knock-out clash nearly four months ago.

Wales claimed a deserved 22-10 win over their Celtic cousins, and now Ireland have the opportunity for swift revenge and a chance to extend their visitors' losing run to four Tests since Warren Gatland's troops broke Irish hearts in New Zealand's capital.

And as if avoiding a fourth consecutive defeat at the home of Irish rugby isn't hard enough, Wales will have to do so without several key players as the injury list continues to grow with Gethin Jenkins, Matthew Rees, Lloyd Burns, Luke Charteris and Alun-Wyn Jones already confirmed non-starters.

The situation could yet deteriorate from a fitness perspective as centre Jamie Roberts (knee), fly-half Rhys Priestland (knee) and flanker Dan Lydiate (ankle) are all racing against time.

Indeed, a series of untimely injuries has threatened to derail Wales' campaign before it has even began. Throw in the retirement of Shane Williams and Wales begin the Six Nations without almost half the team that destroyed Ireland's World Cup dream.

Fears from Ireland supporters of how their team will fare without inspirational captain and center Brian O'Driscoll - who will miss the entire tournament - have surely subsided compared to the sleepless nights Wales' fans must now be going through.

Of all the northern hemisphere teams at the World Cup, Wales were the most impressive and quite rightly tipped for Six Nations success heading into 2012. But fast forward to the present, and one wonders if the injury-savaged Dragons will be able to reach the heights they set on their way to the World Cup semi-final.

On the other end of the scale, Ireland coach Declan Kidney has been spoilt for choice in selecting his matchday 22 which sees only three changes - one positional - to the side that lost in Wellington. His only real headache was replacing the irreplaceable O'Driscoll, with Keith Earls eventually getting the nod at 13 which has been met with mixed response from Ireland's die-hard rugby followers.

Earls certainly has the talent, but the jury is still out on whether it's best served in midfield. That verdict will be reached after 80 minutes come kick-off on Sunday, along with a few other of Kidney's criticised selections that many perceive to be predictable and conservative with the head coach keeping faith in his established internationals.

In order to avoid the risk of Ireland losing in the opening round for the first time in seven seasons as well as a hat-trick of defeats at Aviva Stadium, Kidney has refused to gamble with his line-up and instead opted for the tried and tested to get their Six Nations campaign off to a winning start.

Ireland fans will also hope their national team can gain a psychological fillip from the strong Heineken Cup showings of Leinster, Munster and Ulster - who have all reached the quarter-finals - and build on the success of their Provincial sides.

It's certainly Ireland's for the taking as Wales limp into the Emerald Isle. And with a tough trip to Paris set to follow next weekend, it's also a game Kidney's troops can ill-afford to lose... especially considering Ireland's consistency - or lack of it - which continues to remain an issue for a side capable of humbling any nation on their day.

A defeat against the men in green wouldn't be the end of the world for Wales, who have tasted victory just once in Ireland (in 2008) since the turn of the century. But should Wales win without many of their stars, it could give them the confidence to push on with three of their last four matches all at home.

Ones to watch:

For Ireland: It's been a busy week for Keith Earls, who has been handed the daunting prospect of replacing the talismanic Brian O'Driscoll only days after witnessing the birth of his first child. It's hard to determine what's harder - filling one of the biggest boots in world rugby or changing dirty nappies? Both are huge responsibilities, but Earl's number one priority on Sunday will be proving his critics wrong who feel he's not the answer in midfield by transfering his Munster form in the Heineken Cup to the Six Nations.

For Wales: Tough to choose considering Wales' key players keep dropping like flies. Fly-half Rhys Priestland is one of several Welshmen in doubt as he battles to recover in time from a knee injury. However, Priestland's pain is James Hook's gain with the Perpignan back set for a reappearance in the critical fly-half role. Should Hook be involved on Sunday, the 26-year-old could be handed the goalkicking duties. Hook missed vital goal-kicks at the World Cup, and will need to be on target in Dublin - although Wales do have other options in Leigh Halfpenny.

Head to head: Wales' major concern will be to prevent Ireland's engine room stoking up a head of steam as the Irish forwards look to overwhelm the Welsh pack early on. The battle at the breakdown between Sam Warburton and Sean O'Brien will be a highlight - whoever wins in this area will help give their backs more point-scoring opportunities.

Recent results:

2011: Wales won 22-10 in Wellington (RWC)
2011: Wales won 19-13 in Cardiff
2010: Ireland won 27-12 in Dublin
2009: Ireland won 17-15 in Cardiff
2008: Wales won 16-12 in Dublin
2007: Ireland won 19-9 in Cardiff

Prediction: Despite Wales beating Ireland in last year's Six Nations - albeit aided by a controversial Mike Phillips try - and then eliminating them from World Cup contention, Ireland enter this clash as favourites. Expect the hosts to give their Celtic rivals a ferocious examination at the Aviva Stadium. Ireland to win by 10 points.

The teams:

Ireland (revised):15 Rob Kearney, 14 Tommy Bowe, 13 Fergus McFadden, 12 Gordon D'Arcy, 11 Andrew Trimble, 10 Jonathan Sexton, 9 Conor Murray, 8 Jamie Heaslip, 7 Sean O'Brien, 6 Stephen Ferris, 5 Paul O'Connell (capt), 4 Donncha O'Callaghan, 3 Mike Ross, 2 Rory Best, 1 Cian Healy.
Replacements: 16 Sean Cronin, 17 Tom Court, 18 Donnacha Ryan, 19 Peter O'Mahony, 20 Eoin Reddan, 21 Ronan O'Gara, 22 David Kearney.

Wales: 15 Leigh Halfpenny, 14 Alex Cuthbert, 13 Jonathan Davies, 12 Jamie Roberts, 11 George North, 10 Rhys Priestland, 9 Mike Phillips, 8 Toby Faletau, 7 Sam Warburton, 6 Ryan Jones, 5 Ian Evans, 4 Bradley Davies, 3 Adam Jones, 2 Huw Bennett, 1 Rhys Gill.
Replacements: 16 Ken Owens, 17 Paul James, 18 Andy Powell, 19 Justin Tipuric, 20 Lloyd Willians, 21 James Hook, 22 Scott Williams.

Date: Sunday, February 5
Kick-off: 15:00 GMT
Venue: Aviva Stadium, Dublin
Referee: Wayne Barnes (England)
Assistant referees: Dave Pearson (England), Stuart Terheege (England)
Television match official: Geoff Warren (England)

By Dave Morris

Comments

makemehappy says...

@Melkdave - thanks for confirming you were wrong regarding your assessment of me and also your comparisons. It takes guts to admit that you were wrong, so thanks!

Posted 20:19 06th February 2012

jose_jones says...

@ Melkdave,... makes sense,.. if you don't want to hear Welsh rugby fans talking about rugby,.... then don't read the rugby threads that involve the country in question,..

I don't really like heights,.. so I tent to avoid being in high places.. If it's unavoidable I try not to look down.

It's not exactly rocket science is it.

Posted 08:35 06th February 2012

melkdave says...

~ThinkingGame

Your right atm only R,Grey would make a Lions squad imo. There is the posiablity that R.Ford and M.Blair would also make the squad but imo atm they are a bit of a long shot

@Makemehappy

Ok i accept you maynot have dragon tinted glasses lol but you are a minority of welsh suppoters posting here and elsewhere i feel as most are bemoaning the loss of the injured players inc PR it seems ,It is nice to see a welsh fan though accept they have class replacments for them though

Posted 12:51 05th February 2012

ThinkingGame says...

No, Scotland aren't moaning about it. Might have something to do with 2 wins being a successful campaign as far as their coach is concerned and going out in the pools in NZ? Maybe they don't have a reputation or expectation (or number of outright wins recently lost to England) to defend?

If you watched the Scots today you'll concede they'll be lucky to have two Lions in the midweek side next year. After all, not as if the retirements of the RWC winning English side was ever mentioned as a factor in their subsequent decline.

Posted 23:11 04th February 2012

makemehappy says...

@Melkdave - Priestland is about level with Sexton for a starting place at the moment. Gethin is a certainty. Matthew Rees would be starting or on the bench. Charteris - certainly in the frame. So come on, there are no dragon tinted spectacles there. You just aren't comparing like with like - or are Ansbrow, Low et al lions candidates LOL. I really think you need to give up on your argument.

Time to move on and agree that Wales have a lot of Lions players missing. I do remind you that they have enough to make the game competitive, so I agree that we cannot blame anyone else if we lose tomorrow. That doesn't sound like a biased person does it, so again that's your argument for biased trumped!

You have managed to name some potential lions candidates. Quite a few seem to be playing this weekend. I really think you need to think before being critical without having any foundation to your argument.

To think Scotland have some stars - deluded I would suggest. I do rate R Grey - the others aren't in the top 10 in the UK - not even close to it - in their positions.

Posted 19:57 04th February 2012

melkdave says...

@Makemehappy

Oh come now you really should take those dragon tinted glasses off .Of the welsh players the only certain starter for the Lions atm imo is most probably Roberts .Priestland lydgate and A.W.Jones the other potential injured welsh Lions face very stiff competion from the likes of Sexton and Flood for FH T.Croft and S.Ferris and SOB at 6 and Lawes -R,Grey for lock to name a few .Also to say Scotland have no stars or potential Lions demeans you .I can name 3 just off my head R.Ford -R.Grey and M.Evans

Posted 19:13 04th February 2012

makemehappy says...

@melkdave - same applies - no stars in that Scotland team.

I do agree that there's enough players avaiable in the Wales team to not moan. If Roberts and Priestland also had not been fit, then I'd have said there would be a huge amount to moan about.

The team is definitely good enough to beat Ireland. Whether they will or not we shall wait and see.

Posted 17:05 04th February 2012

melkdave says...

Ok ill use Scotland as my example a country with even less depth than Wales they have regulars unavailable because of injury M.Low -J.Ansbro -K.Brown -H.Southwell -R.Jackson are they moaning about it NO so please no excuses welsh fans .Every year i hear the same excuses well if only this player was fit ect from welsh fans .As to Wales not having an A team thats down to the WRU not to a lack of young talant in Wales

Posted 14:01 04th February 2012

makemehappy says...

@melkdave - so you're sick of facts then? That's odd. I like facts - they tend to be true!

There is no doubt that Wales are short of depth in some areas (lock being a relevant one for this match).

I would also point out that unlike your comparison with England, the players Wales have lost are past or future Lions players (I'm including the ones who were close (apparently) to not playing in this game). The English players you have named might well not figure for the Lions. So there are clear differences!

Posted 11:43 04th February 2012

damo says...

England are rubbish, they were rubbish in the RWC and their team to play Scotland is Rubbish, their only positive is they are only playing the Scots and that will be their downfall as the scots can play rugby and thats where they have the edge!!!

Come on Scotland

Posted 10:39 04th February 2012

ThinkingGame says...

@melkdave

You really can't see any difference between England (12 elite clubs, 55 man EPG, full A team) and Wales (4 elite regions, 35 man squad, no A team) as to why one might be slightly more able to cope with a few knocks than the other? It's not an excuse, and it's not whining. If this Wales team doesn't play well, a good shout at the reason will be the number of players unavailable due to injury.

Posted 02:58 04th February 2012

KiwiLad says...

I guess now the Welsh side, the one that returned from RWC NZ saying they should have won it, after having lost 3 games, will be able to show us all how good they really are..

Or will they continue to blame refs, touch officials or anyone else close to the action?

Posted 02:40 04th February 2012

Lucasrg says...

Sorry to hear that Earls have some problem with his new born, must be horrible. Whish hima speddy recovery.

Posted 21:53 03rd February 2012

Carpelone says...

Changing dirty nappies to your children is a privilege.

Posted 20:21 03rd February 2012

melkdave says...

Im sick and tired of welsh fans and PR saying the teams depleted becuase of injuries .England have 6-7 class players unavilable because of injury or player stupidity Flood -Wood -Lawes-Tulangi -Care-sheriaden and Armatage Are we bemoaning this fact NO are we making excuses NO.Its not as if Wales havnt got experianced class replacments like H.Bennet ect for their injured players so please no more whining or excuses from welsh fans .or PR for any bad Welsh performances this 6Ns

Posted 19:52 03rd February 2012

liam2me says...

Earls is out, his newborn child is sick in hospital.

McFadden to start & Dave Kearney on the bench.

Puts the game into perspective really.

Posted 13:28 03rd February 2012

jamesliveinhope says...

"It's hard to determine what's harder - filling one of the biggest boots in world rugby or changing dirty nappies?"

Having seen Deep Heat rubbed into underpants, it doesn't need a huge leap of imagination to know the best use of a dirty nappy if there's empty boots to fill.

Posted 13:22 03rd February 2012

curates_egg says...

Earls is out of the game. A relief that he will not be facing Roberts. Hope all is ok with his family.

Posted 12:53 03rd February 2012

BigRugbyBalls says...

@dodgyrog

Spot on. Gatland is a master of psychological warfare, he has always done this. Now that Kidney has played his hand and selected Earls, we will almost certainly now see Roberts in the starting XV (possiby at 13 - who knows, he has played there before). Even a half-fit Roberts would plough through Earls without any sweat.

Posted 11:43 03rd February 2012

Snowy1985 says...

Earls is a poor distributor and the Welsh centres will love running at our midfield. D'Arce and Earls are both poor defensively. Let's hope the backrow can cover for them!

That he hasn't trained this week shows that Kidney has his favourites and no matter what, he will pick them (also see DOC).

A poor 6 Nations and Kidney has to go, I for one will not be sad to see him leave!

Posted 10:24 03rd February 2012

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